Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.240609 0.256965 0.274234 0.293887 0.315707 0.339278 0.366779
2025-03-09 0.204291 0.227889 0.254506 0.287052 0.326189 0.372283 0.431520
2025-03-16 0.180903 0.208187 0.240484 0.282187 0.335616 0.403249 0.497911
2025-03-23 0.168320 0.198709 0.236153 0.286822 0.355499 0.448458 0.589898
2025-03-30 0.155081 0.186552 0.226506 0.282544 0.361954 0.475496 0.661095
2025-04-06 0.142485 0.173834 0.214546 0.273251 0.359423 0.488267 0.712100
2025-04-13 0.131967 0.162880 0.203788 0.264165 0.355512 0.497575 0.758451
2025-04-20 0.126627 0.158342 0.201214 0.266214 0.368105 0.534256 0.861283
2025-04-27 0.122783 0.155482 0.200609 0.270868 0.385024 0.580568 0.995535
2025-05-04 0.118282 0.151354 0.197793 0.271739 0.395664 0.617428 1.122051
2025-05-11 0.113425 0.146396 0.193363 0.269582 0.400746 0.644639 1.236087
2025-05-18 0.108777 0.141461 0.188611 0.266425 0.403577 0.667775 1.348672
2025-05-25 0.103757 0.135855 0.182695 0.261199 0.402675 0.684483 1.455499
2025-06-01 0.099473 0.131159 0.177947 0.257631 0.404635 0.708183 1.595940
2025-06-08 0.095556 0.126814 0.173480 0.254164 0.406368 0.731852 1.750198
2025-06-15 0.093680 0.125411 0.173491 0.258350 0.423453 0.794513 2.078395
2025-06-22 0.090279 0.121520 0.169304 0.254754 0.424363 0.818315 2.280422
2025-06-29 0.086214 0.116442 0.162948 0.246797 0.415346 0.815204 2.370020
2025-07-06 0.082437 0.111672 0.156881 0.238984 0.405886 0.809432 2.447505
2025-07-13 0.080800 0.110158 0.156061 0.240751 0.417213 0.862419 2.860374
2025-07-20 0.079685 0.109403 0.156440 0.244758 0.433986 0.935567 3.484692
2025-07-27 0.078032 0.107724 0.155170 0.245507 0.443453 0.989974 4.090490
2025-08-03 0.076012 0.105380 0.152657 0.243651 0.446595 1.025588 4.633815